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Because probability is so foreign to ordinary thought, it’s easy to mistakenly believe that highly…

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suliqyre:Because probability is so foreign to ordinary thought, it’s easy to mistakenly believe that highly improbable events are actually impossible. There’s no space in our set of expectations for events that are so rare as to almost never happen.When the . . .

suliqyre:

Because probability is so foreign to ordinary thought, it’s easy to mistakenly believe that highly improbable events are actually impossible. There’s no space in our set of expectations for events that are so rare as to almost never happen.

When the unexpected occurs, it feels meaningful. We tend to give meaning to anything that stands out from our ordinary experience. When this tendency to assign meaning is combined with our tendency to notice what has recently been the focus of attention, we can see patterns in what is no more than coincidence.

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